Here is the visualization of my results from the forecasting challenge:

The top chart is based on my average Log-Loss, which according to the website is about a B average. The bottom shows how calibrated I am, specifically that I was a little overconfident in my answers.

I found this challenge very interesting, I am not a big user of Chat GPT, specifically when it comes to school work or asking it academic based questions, I will usually use it for cooking recipes most often.

I didn’t have much strategy other than staying kinda close to middle of the road either way, I was either around 35% or 75% on every question, other than some obvious ones like asking what the capital of France is. I was much more confident in the system to be able to do a lot of what the challenge asked it to do. However, I guess that is because I have never really had issues with it just based on getting recipes from it. Asking for ChatGPT to create large complex html files is much more complicated of course.